sealight-logo

Why is China Surveying the Shoals near Palawan?

For the past week the Chinese research vessel Ke Xue San Hao has been surveying the reefs and shoals west of the Philippine island of Palawan.
Ray Powell | AUGUST 3, 2024
Why is China Surveying the Shoals near Palawan?
PRC research ship Ke Xue San Hao surveying First Thomas Shoal, 29 July 2024

Ray Powell

Director

Share

twitter-logofacebook-logo

The ship began its survey operations after passing by China's military base at Mischief Reef on 26 July, and has traveled through the area around a host of submerged features south and east of Sabina Shoal, including First Thomas Shoal, Half Moon Shoal, Bombay Shoal, Royal Captain Shoal, Northeast Investigator Shoal and Boxall Reef. 

The satellite photo at the top of the page, captured on 29 July by Planet Labs and delivered by SeaLight's imagery partner SkyFi, shows the ship passing within 600 meters of First Thomas Shoal, which is about 35 kilometers south of its more well-known cousin Second Thomas Shoal--home of the Philippines' hotly contested outpost aboard the BRP Sierra Madre.

The Ke Xue San Hao left Sanya port at Hainan Island on 19 July, just two days before the Philippine Department of Foreign Affairs first announced it had concluded a deal with Beijing to resume resupply missions at Second Thomas Shoal. In sending the survey ship to within 40 nautical miles of the coast Palawan, China may be signaling its intent to keep the pressure on elsewhere in the West Philippine Sea despite loosening its blockade of the Philippine outpost.

This is the first recorded appearance of the Ke Xue San Hao in Philippine waters since May 2020, when it explored an area 60 nautical miles east of northern Luzon over a four-day period.

Screenshot 2024-08-03 at 3.14.04 PM.png
Ke Xue San Hao survey operations, 21-25 May 2020

(*Note: A typo was corrected in the previous survey data above--the survey took place in 2020, not 2000 as originally posted.)

EVENING UPDATE: Philippine Coast Guard spokesman for the West Philippine Sea Commodore Jay Tarriela has just posted additional tracking information and video of the Ke Xue San Hao:

Ray Powell

Ray is the Director of SeaLight and Project Lead for Project Myoushu at Stanford University's Gordian Knot Center for National Security Innovation. He's a 35-year veteran of the U.S. Air Force and was a 2021 Fellow at Stanford's Distinguished Careers Institute.

More Articles

alt-text
Gray Zone Tactics Playbook: Pretext to Escalate
While other countries treat maritime incidents as crises to be deescalated, Beijing seizes upon them as pretext for calculated escalations, by which it means to reset the board in its favor.
alt-text
It's time for U.S. troops to visit Thitu Island
The U.S. has long kept its distance from the occupied South China Sea features, holding to the notion that keeping the status quo was crucial to avoiding conflict. Unfortunately, Beijing interpreted this reticence as weakness and gutted that status quo, while America's treaty ally, the Philippines, bore the brunt of China's gray-zone expansionism. The journey toward reclaiming the initiative can start with a single, modest step--sending U.S. & Philippine military doctors and engineers to Thitu Island.
alt-text
Infographic: Chinese Provocations in the South China Sea
A quick-reference guide to South China Sea hotspots.
sealight logo
Contact Us